Active Layer Thickness Throughout Northern Alaska by Upscaling from P-Band Polarimetric Sar Retrievals

Knowledge of the spatial and temporal distribution of active layer thickness (ALT) throughout northern Alaska would help to understand the effects of climate change in the region, as well as to quantify how much the permafrost degradation manifestly in progress there is contributing to the accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. For this reason, we are developing extensive high-resolution maps of ALT in northern Alaska. We use machine learning along with an extensive set of spatial data layers to upscale ALT from thousands of training pixels taken from high resolution swaths of estimated ALT derived from airborne polarimetric P-band synthetic aperture radar (SAR). The resulting maps of up-scaled ALT have been compared to thousands of validation samples set aside from the PolSAR-derived swaths and to in situ ALT measurements. The maps have achieved root-mean-square errors (RMSEs) of 5-7 cm relative to validation samples, and RMSEs of approximately 10-12 cm relative to in situ ALT measurements.