Abstract
This article uses a basin-wide hydrologic model to assess the hydrologic and economic effects of expanding agriculture in the Sao Francisco River Basin, Brazil. It then uses a basin-wide economic model of agriculture to examine the effects of implementing water use regulations. Preliminary results suggest that substantially expanding agriculture would put pressure on some of the river's environmental flows. Agricultural output and rural employment would increase, though not in spatially uniform ways. The economic model demonstrates how cropping area, crop mix and production technology respond simultaneously to water shortages. While farmers can adjust, the costs of doing so may be beyond the reach of resource-poor farmers.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 88-103 |
| Number of pages | 16 |
| Journal | Water International |
| Volume | 34 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Mar 2009 |
Funding
This research project is sponsored in part by the Challenge Program on Water and Food (CPWF) of the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR), in collaboration with the International Water Management Institute (IWMI), whose support we gratefully acknowledge. We also gratefully acknowledge financial support from Center for Natural Resources Policy Analysis at the University of California, Davis, and the Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuaria (Embrapa). The opinions expressed in this article are not necessarily those of the supporting agencies.
| Funders |
|---|
| International Water Management Institute |
| Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária |
Keywords
- Basin-wide water management
- Brazil
- Economic model of agriculture
- Hydrologic modelling
- Water policy