Contribution of increasing CO2 and climate to carbon storage by ecosystems in the United States

David Schimel; Jerry Melillo; Hanqin Tian; A. David McGuire; David Kicklighter; Timothy Kittel; Nan Rosenbloom; Steven Running; Peter Thornton; Dennis Ojima; William Parton; Robin Kelly; Martin Sykes; Ron Neilson; Brian Rizzo

doi:10.1126/science.287.5460.2004

Contribution of increasing CO₂ and climate to carbon storage by ecosystems in the United States

David Schimel, Jerry Melillo, Hanqin Tian, A. David McGuire, David Kicklighter, Timothy Kittel, Nan Rosenbloom, Steven Running, Peter Thornton, Dennis Ojima, William Parton, Robin Kelly, Martin Sykes, Ron Neilson, Brian Rizzo

W. A. Franke College of Forestry and Conservation

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

517 Scopus citations

Abstract

The effects of increasing carbon dioxide (CO₂) and climate on net carbon storage in terrestrial ecosystems of the conterminous United States for the period 1895-1993 were modeled with new, detailed historical climate information. For the period 1980-1993, results from an ensemble of three models agree within 25%, simulating a land carbon sink from CO₂ and climate effects of 0.08 gigaton of carbon per year. The best estimates of the total sink from inventory data are about three times larger, suggesting that processes such as regrowth on abandoned agricultural land or in forests harvested before 1980 have effects as large as or larger than the direct effects of CO₂ and climate. The modeled sink varies by about 100% from year to year as a result of climate variability.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	2004-2006
Number of pages	3
Journal	Science
Volume	287
Issue number	5460
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1126/science.287.5460.2004
State	Published - Mar 17 2000

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10.1126/science.287.5460.2004

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Schimel, D., Melillo, J., Tian, H., McGuire, A. D., Kicklighter, D., Kittel, T., Rosenbloom, N., Running, S., Thornton, P., Ojima, D., Parton, W., Kelly, R., Sykes, M., Neilson, R., & Rizzo, B. (2000). Contribution of increasing CO₂ and climate to carbon storage by ecosystems in the United States. Science, 287(5460), 2004-2006. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.287.5460.2004

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title = "Contribution of increasing CO2 and climate to carbon storage by ecosystems in the United States",

abstract = "The effects of increasing carbon dioxide (CO2) and climate on net carbon storage in terrestrial ecosystems of the conterminous United States for the period 1895-1993 were modeled with new, detailed historical climate information. For the period 1980-1993, results from an ensemble of three models agree within 25%, simulating a land carbon sink from CO2 and climate effects of 0.08 gigaton of carbon per year. The best estimates of the total sink from inventory data are about three times larger, suggesting that processes such as regrowth on abandoned agricultural land or in forests harvested before 1980 have effects as large as or larger than the direct effects of CO2 and climate. The modeled sink varies by about 100% from year to year as a result of climate variability.",

author = "David Schimel and Jerry Melillo and Hanqin Tian and McGuire, {A. David} and David Kicklighter and Timothy Kittel and Nan Rosenbloom and Steven Running and Peter Thornton and Dennis Ojima and William Parton and Robin Kelly and Martin Sykes and Ron Neilson and Brian Rizzo",

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Schimel, D, Melillo, J, Tian, H, McGuire, AD, Kicklighter, D, Kittel, T, Rosenbloom, N, Running, S, Thornton, P, Ojima, D, Parton, W, Kelly, R, Sykes, M, Neilson, R & Rizzo, B 2000, 'Contribution of increasing CO₂ and climate to carbon storage by ecosystems in the United States', Science, vol. 287, no. 5460, pp. 2004-2006. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.287.5460.2004

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T1 - Contribution of increasing CO2 and climate to carbon storage by ecosystems in the United States

AU - Schimel, David

AU - Melillo, Jerry

AU - Tian, Hanqin

AU - McGuire, A. David

AU - Kicklighter, David

AU - Kittel, Timothy

AU - Rosenbloom, Nan

AU - Running, Steven

AU - Thornton, Peter

AU - Ojima, Dennis

AU - Parton, William

AU - Kelly, Robin

AU - Sykes, Martin

AU - Neilson, Ron

AU - Rizzo, Brian

PY - 2000/3/17

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N2 - The effects of increasing carbon dioxide (CO2) and climate on net carbon storage in terrestrial ecosystems of the conterminous United States for the period 1895-1993 were modeled with new, detailed historical climate information. For the period 1980-1993, results from an ensemble of three models agree within 25%, simulating a land carbon sink from CO2 and climate effects of 0.08 gigaton of carbon per year. The best estimates of the total sink from inventory data are about three times larger, suggesting that processes such as regrowth on abandoned agricultural land or in forests harvested before 1980 have effects as large as or larger than the direct effects of CO2 and climate. The modeled sink varies by about 100% from year to year as a result of climate variability.

AB - The effects of increasing carbon dioxide (CO2) and climate on net carbon storage in terrestrial ecosystems of the conterminous United States for the period 1895-1993 were modeled with new, detailed historical climate information. For the period 1980-1993, results from an ensemble of three models agree within 25%, simulating a land carbon sink from CO2 and climate effects of 0.08 gigaton of carbon per year. The best estimates of the total sink from inventory data are about three times larger, suggesting that processes such as regrowth on abandoned agricultural land or in forests harvested before 1980 have effects as large as or larger than the direct effects of CO2 and climate. The modeled sink varies by about 100% from year to year as a result of climate variability.

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SN - 0036-8075

VL - 287

SP - 2004

EP - 2006

JO - Science

JF - Science

IS - 5460

ER -

Contribution of increasing CO₂ and climate to carbon storage by ecosystems in the United States

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