TY - JOUR
T1 - Do right-wing and left-wing authoritarianism predict election outcomes?
T2 - Support for Obama and Trump across two United States presidential elections
AU - Conway, Lucian Gideon
AU - McFarland, James D.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2018
PY - 2019/2/1
Y1 - 2019/2/1
N2 - Recent research suggests authoritarianism may play a key role in election outcomes, yet that work has focused almost exclusively on right-wing authoritarianism. In the present work, we compare the ability of Right-Wing Authoritarianism (RWA) and Left-Wing Authoritarianism (LWA) to predict support for candidates during two U.S. Presidential elections (total n = 1582). Samples of Americans who reported their support for each candidate after both the 2008 (n = 467) and 2016 (n = 1115) elections revealed that LWA was a better predictor of support for Obama during the 2008 election, whereas RWA was a better predictor of support for Trump during the 2016 election. LWA and RWA were both weaker predictors of the candidate that ultimately lost in each election. Implications for current understanding of (1) the connection between authoritarianism and election outcomes, and (2) the predictive power of authoritarianism (as distinguished from self-reported political identity) are both discussed.
AB - Recent research suggests authoritarianism may play a key role in election outcomes, yet that work has focused almost exclusively on right-wing authoritarianism. In the present work, we compare the ability of Right-Wing Authoritarianism (RWA) and Left-Wing Authoritarianism (LWA) to predict support for candidates during two U.S. Presidential elections (total n = 1582). Samples of Americans who reported their support for each candidate after both the 2008 (n = 467) and 2016 (n = 1115) elections revealed that LWA was a better predictor of support for Obama during the 2008 election, whereas RWA was a better predictor of support for Trump during the 2016 election. LWA and RWA were both weaker predictors of the candidate that ultimately lost in each election. Implications for current understanding of (1) the connection between authoritarianism and election outcomes, and (2) the predictive power of authoritarianism (as distinguished from self-reported political identity) are both discussed.
KW - Left-wing authoritarianism
KW - Obama
KW - Right-wing authoritarianism
KW - Trump
KW - U.S. presidential elections
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85053795501&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.paid.2018.09.033
DO - 10.1016/j.paid.2018.09.033
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85053795501
SN - 0191-8869
VL - 138
SP - 84
EP - 87
JO - Personality and Individual Differences
JF - Personality and Individual Differences
ER -