Flexible Foliar Stoichiometry Reduces the Magnitude of the Global Land Carbon Sink

Increased plant growth under elevated carbon dioxide (CO₂) slows the pace of climate warming and underlies projections of terrestrial carbon (C) and climate dynamics. However, this important ecosystem service may be diminished by concurrent changes to vegetation carbon-to-nitrogen (C:N) ratios. Despite clear observational evidence of increasing foliar C:N under elevated CO₂, our understanding of potential ecological consequences of foliar stoichiometric flexibility is incomplete. Here, we illustrate that when we incorporated CO₂-driven increases in foliar stoichiometry into the Community Land Model the projected land C sink decreased two-fold by the end of the century compared to simulations with fixed foliar chemistry. Further, CO₂-driven increases in foliar C:N profoundly altered Earth's hydrologic cycle, reducing evapotranspiration and increasing runoff, and reduced belowground N cycling rates. These findings underscore the urgency of further research to examine both the direct and indirect effects of changing foliar stoichiometry on soil N cycling and plant productivity.