Abstract
We used an Optimal Interpolation (OI) scheme to generate a reference crop evapotranspiration (ETo) grid, forcing meteorological variables, and their respective error variance in the Iberian Peninsula for the period 1989–2011. To perform the OI we used observational data from the Spanish Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and outputs from a physically-based climate model. To compute ETo we used five OI schemes to generate grids for the five observed climate variables necessary to compute ETo using the FAO-recommended form of the Penman-Monteith equation (FAO-PM). The granularity of the resulting grids are less sensitive to variations in the density and distribution of the observational network than those generated by other interpolation methods. This is because our implementation of the OI method uses a physically-based climate model as prior background information about the spatial distribution of the climatic variables, which is critical for under-observed regions. This provides temporal consistency in the spatial variability of the climatic fields. We also show that increases in the density and improvements in the distribution of the observational network reduces substantially the uncertainty of the climatic and ETo estimates. Finally, a sensitivity analysis of observational uncertainties and network densification suggests the existence of a trade-off between quantity and quality of observations.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 202-219 |
| Number of pages | 18 |
| Journal | Journal of Hydrology |
| Volume | 560 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - May 2018 |
Funding
This work has been supported by the research project CGL2014-52135-C3-1-R, financed by the Spanish Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad (MINECO) and EU-FEDER. M Maneta acknowledges support from the National Science Foundation EPSCoR Cooperative Agreement EPS-1101342, NSF Contracts GSE-1461576 and DGE-1633831, and USDA NIFA contract 2016–67026-25067. The work of M. Tomas-Burguera was supported by the predoctoral FPU program 2013 (Ministerio de Educación, Cultura y Deporte). We wish to thank the Spanish national meteorological service (AEMET) for providing the observational data necessary to carry out this study. We acknowledge the World Climate Research Programme’s Working Group on Regional Climate, and the Working Group on Coupled Modelling, former coordinating body of CORDEX and responsible panel for CMIP5. We also thank the DMI climate modelling group for producing and making available HIRHAM model output. We also acknowledge the Earth System Grid Federation infrastructure an international effort led by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison, the European Network for Earth System Modelling and other partners in the Global Organisation for Earth System Science Portals (GO-ESSP).” We declare that we have no competing interests.
| Funder number |
|---|
| EPS-1101342 |
| 2016–67026-25067 |
| GSE-1461576, DGE-1633831, 1633831 |
Keywords
- Optimal Interpolation
- Reference crop evapotranspiration database
- Regional Climate Model
- Uncertainty estimation
- Weather stations