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Protect young secondary forests for optimum carbon removal

  • Nathaniel Robinson
  • , C. Ronnie Drever
  • , David A. Gibbs
  • , Kristine Lister
  • , Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert
  • , Viola Heinrich
  • , Philippe Ciais
  • , Celso H.L. Silva-Junior
  • , Zhihua Liu
  • , Thomas A.M. Pugh
  • , Sassan Saatchi
  • , Yidi Xu
  • , Susan C. Cook-Patton
  • The Nature Conservancy
  • World Agroforestry Centre
  • World Resources Institute
  • Duke University
  • University of Birmingham
  • Helmholtz Centre Potsdam - German Research Centre for Geosciences
  • University of Bristol
  • Université Paris-Saclay
  • Instituto de Pesquisa Ambiental da Amazônia
  • Universidade Federal do Maranhão
  • Lund University
  • Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology
  • Smithsonian Institution

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

19 Scopus citations

Abstract

Avoiding severe global warming requires large-scale removals of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Forest regeneration offers cost-effective carbon removals, but annual rates vary substantially by location and forest age. Here we generate grid-level (~1-km2) growth curves for aboveground live carbon in naturally regrowing forests by combining 109,708 field estimates with 66 environmental covariates. Across the globe and the first 100 years of growth, maximum carbon removal rates varied 200-fold, with the greatest rates estimated in ~20- to 40-year-old forests. Despite a focus on new forests for natural climate solutions, protecting existing young secondary forests can provide up to 8-fold more carbon removal per hectare than new regrowth. These maps could help to target the optimal ages and locations where a key carbon removal strategy could be applied, and improve estimates of how secondary forests contribute to global carbon cycling.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)793-800
Number of pages8
JournalNature Climate Change
Volume15
Issue number7
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 24 2025

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

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