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Simulating the landscape eco-evolution of host-pathogen systems with CDMetaPOP

  • Erin L. Landguth
  • , Allison Williams
  • , Marissa Roseman
  • , Miracle Amadi
  • , Baylor Fain
  • , Marcel Kouete
  • , Rhys A. Farrer
  • , Amy J. Haeseler
  • , Orly Razgour
  • , Chris Richardson
  • , Byron Weckworth
  • , Julie Weckworth
  • , Flora Whiting-Fawcett
  • , Duncan Wilson
  • , Casey C. Day
  • University of Montana
  • Ohio State University
  • Lappeenranta-Lahti University of Technology
  • University of Exeter
  • Boston University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Simulating the eco-evolutionary feedbacks between wildlife hosts and pathogens in complex landscapes remains a major computational challenge. While universal simulation languages enable custom model development, few integrated frameworks exist that mechanistically link disease dynamics, landscape-scale demography, and forward-time population genetics. We address this gap by introducing CDMetaPOP-Disease, an open-source, spatially explicit, individual-based demo-genetic module. The module's primary informatics advance is its native ability to mechanistically link individual genotypes to epidemiological transition rates, enabling the simulation of host disease response strategies, such as resistance (reducing infection probability) and tolerance (reducing mortality). We verified the module's core features against classic SIR-type models, achieving high fidelity (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency ≥ 0.98) to theoretical expectations. We demonstrated the model's utility by simulating the emergence of a novel pathogen in a realistic bat-pathogen system, showcasing the tool's power to track both pathogen diffusion and the resulting spatial-genetic signatures of host adaptation. Optimized for performance and modularity, CDMetaPOP-Disease provides a flexible platform for the ecological informatics community to investigate complex feedbacks and inform proactive management of infectious diseases in realistic landscapes.

Original languageEnglish
Article number103892
JournalEcological Informatics
Volume97
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 2026

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
  2. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

Keywords

  • Eco-evolutionary dynamics
  • Host-pathogen interactions
  • Individual-based model
  • Infectious disease modeling
  • Landscape connectivity
  • Landscape genetics
  • Simulation software

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